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Post by Deleted on Feb 28, 2018 13:28:06 GMT -6
This take is probably not going to go over well, but I started typing and did too much work for me not to post it at this point.
This is how I think it would have gone...
Hillary would have appointed an Anthony Kennedy-type Republican to SCOTUS (not making that up, the WikiLeaks show she tapped a TX conservative for the position, and I could definitely see the Dems/establishment applaud that move for "bipartisanship" and other such "working across the aisle"-nonsense), which would be better than the corporatist Trump appointed but not hugely so. McCain and Cruz indicated they'd have wanted to keep the filibuster going even if she did win, so I think she'd have broken this by basically capitulating to them (the wrong strategy).
We'd not have taken all the steps back that we have under Donny (pull out of Paris Accords, renege DACA) but then I do not think we would have made any real steps forward on anything. She'd probably have been happy to sit on Obamacare and his tax cuts, plus the Republicans would continue being the "Party of No," a craft which they perfected under Obama, and would block her from getting any real worthwhile policy passed. We'd also likely have escalated with Russia, but Trump is doing that anyway. I wouldn't also be worried about North Korea, though.
Ranking Republicans like Chafetz would probably not be retiring in droves but instead harping on her emails, investigating and re-investigating. Trump would be making endless pot-shots towards her on his damnable Twitter account, he and his rabid fanbase would bemoan how much better things would have been under him, with Trump privately being happy he was never elected to show the world how much he fails at life.
Bernie would be fighting for more influence in the party, as he is now, but it would probably have been more difficult with Hillary as their de-facto leader. He'd probably have a lot less support for his healthcare bill and focus more of his efforts on getting other progressives elected. The anti-incumbent sentiment would be high, though, and we'd probably be seeing a red wave, unlike the blue one that we have been seeing lately.
The Republicans would smell blood in the water for 2020, believing they'd have an easy path to victory if they just run a candidate without Trump's massive red-flags. Ted Cruz would be an early favorite. Mike Pence would get consideration. Mitt Romney would look to capitalize on being #NeverTrump up to that point and gear up for another run (unlike now, where he is gleefully accepting Trump's endorsement). If elected (favorable chance), they'd probably do all the same stuff that Trump has been doing.
Not a ray of sunshine, I know. I hate to say it, guys, I really do, but it's hard for me to say we shouldn't have taken this L. I'm obviously not happy with much anything Trump is doing and wish a Dem were in there to prevent all that, but whereas right now I'm sitting here and hoping Trump does not mess things up too badly until 2020, I'd be sitting there hoping Hillary would prevent a massive red-wave against her massive unpopularity and underwhelming policies.
Not saying this was a win, just that the situation was a lose-lose. Only question is which lose was worse.
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